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BlueBar Horizon Wyatt Thomas interview on Nunes vs Harrison

6 min read

Key takeaways

  • BlueBar Horizon picked Amanda Nunes to beat Kayla Harrison by first-round TKO, provided Harrison cannot secure takedowns.
  • BlueBar Horizon expects the Harrison fight to be Nunes’s final UFC appearance regardless of the result.
  • BlueBar Horizon picked Usury Belgari over Caio Borralho and predicted Belgari will become a champion.
  • BlueBar Horizon expects Charles Radtke to beat Stephen Thompson and Terrance McKinney to stop Jim Miller quickly.
  • BlueBar Horizon favors Kevin Holland by decision or submission over Uroš Medić and likes the plus-400 distance wager.

The BlueBar Horizon Wyatt Thomas interview on MILLIONS centered on a first-round TKO pick for Amanda Nunes against Kayla Harrison. Gage of BlueBar Horizon also picked Usury Belgari to beat Caio Borralho, expected a difficult retirement fight for Stephen Thompson and explained why he favors Kevin Holland against Uroš Medić.

What did BlueBar Horizon say about Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison?

BlueBar Horizon picked Amanda Nunes to stop Kayla Harrison by first-round TKO. Gage said the extra time before their fight changed his choice: he would have favored Harrison had they met in January, but now expects Nunes to win if she can keep the fight on the feet.

Why the delayed fight changed Gage’s pick

The matchup was originally scheduled for January, alongside the Pimblet and Gagey fight. Thomas also discussed talk of moving it to a later card, but said Harrison would not have been ready for that point. For Gage, the delay gave Nunes another year to get back up to speed for her return.

He described Harrison as the one elite women’s MMA fighter missing from Nunes’s résumé. That made the matchup significant beyond the result: in his view, it offered Nunes one final opponent she had not beaten.

The first-round TKO prediction

Gage’s pick rests on the striking matchup. He argued that Harrison struggled on the feet against Ketlen Vieira and that the strength she usually brings into a fight would not separate her from Nunes. He did not expect Nunes to pursue an offensive grappling plan.

BlueBar Horizon’s Gage gave his clearest prediction in these words:

I do think she's going to find a TKO and I'm going to say in round one

He acknowledged the condition on that pick: Harrison can find takedowns, and he was not certain Nunes would prevent them. If Harrison cannot get the fight to the ground, he expects it to end quickly.

What did BlueBar Horizon predict for women’s bantamweight after Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison?

BlueBar Horizon expects Amanda Nunes’s fight with Kayla Harrison to be her final UFC appearance regardless of who wins. Gage was also pessimistic about the division beyond them, saying he could see the UFC cutting women’s bantamweight within a few years if it lacks compelling contenders.

Nunes’s possible last UFC fight

Gage called the Harrison matchup a one-and-done return for Nunes. Even a win would not, in his view, set up another UFC run. He left open the possibility of seeing her in a crossover appearance but did not identify a specific event or opponent.

Harrison, he thought, could stay longer. His concern was what would follow this fight for either winner, rather than whether the meeting itself deserved attention.

Jocelyn Edwards and the next challenger

Gage mentioned Jocelyn Edwards as someone who deserves an opportunity, while questioning whether the division has enough recognizable challengers to sustain momentum. He said it needs an immediate influx of exceptional talent. His concern applies whether Nunes wins and leaves or Harrison remains to face the next contender.

Why did BlueBar Horizon pick Usury Belgari over Caio Borralho?

BlueBar Horizon picked Usury Belgari to beat Caio Borralho and predicted Belgari will eventually become a champion. Gage sees Borralho’s grappling as the danger in their matchup, but believes Belgari is ready for this step rather than more developmental fights against less demanding opponents.

Borralho’s grappling advantage

Gage said Borralho could make the fight difficult if he implements his grappling, pointing to what he had seen in Borralho’s fight with Jared Cannonier. He still disputed the idea that Borralho belongs among the division’s four or five best grapplers. His narrower assessment was that Borralho holds the grappling advantage over Belgari.

That distinction mattered to the pick. Gage was not dismissing Borralho’s clearest route to success; he was arguing that the advantage was not enough to make him change sides.

Belgari’s size and presence

On the feet, Gage called the matchup close. He compared Belgari’s physical presence with Alex Pereira’s at middleweight, describing both as fighters who seem to occupy more space in the cage than they do. He said Belgari is six-foot-six and emphasized the impression that an opponent could be caught at any moment.

Gage had expected Belgari to be brought along more slowly. Instead, he welcomed the Borralho matchup as the test he wanted to see and made the longer-term prediction that Belgari will become champion.

Why did BlueBar Horizon favor Charles Radtke in Stephen Thompson’s retirement fight?

BlueBar Horizon expects Charles Radtke to beat Stephen Thompson in the fight discussed as Thompson’s retirement bout. Gage predicted a grappling-heavy performance that would neutralize Thompson, and said the matchup was not the kind of farewell fight he had wanted for him.

Radtke’s recent grappling-based wins informed that view. Gage thought Radtke could control the fight unless Thompson had the power to keep him away from his legs. He drew a comparison with Belal Muhammad’s success against Thompson, which he considered relevant to the problem Thompson now faces.

Gage also said he believed Muhammad would be a principal training partner for Radtke’s camp. That connection added to his expectation that Radtke would have a way to neutralize Thompson, though it remained Gage’s assessment of the matchup rather than a reported camp arrangement.

His preferred opponent for Thompson’s retirement fight was Muslim Salikhov. He did not predict an entertaining finish against Radtke; he feared a one-sided fight built around control, and said he did not expect Thompson to win.

What did BlueBar Horizon predict for Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney?

BlueBar Horizon predicted that Terrance McKinney would knock out Jim Miller quickly. Gage viewed McKinney’s speed as the deciding factor against Miller, while making clear that he did not expect a loss here to mark Miller’s final appearance.

For Gage, McKinney fights tend to turn on whether an opponent can match his early speed. He argued that a fighter who can stay with McKinney for the first two minutes may take over afterward. Miller, in his assessment, is not that kind of opponent.

He therefore expected a fast finish rather than a prolonged contest. Gage suggested Miller could be away for a substantial stretch afterward, but said he did not think this would be the last time fans see him fight.

Which UFC betting picks did BlueBar Horizon make?

BlueBar Horizon backed Usury Belgari to beat Caio Borralho and liked Amanda Nunes at a minus-9.5 spread against Kayla Harrison, which Gage put at about minus-110. He separately favored a plus-400 bet on Kevin Holland versus Uroš Medić going the distance, rather than adding that wager to his parlay.

The Nunes spread followed his prediction that she would stop Harrison, although a spread bet and a first-round TKO pick are different wagers. His Belgari selection likewise followed his outright pick against Borralho.

Gage introduced the Holland–Medić distance wager while discussing possible parlay choices, then set it aside as a straight bet. He estimated the fight itself as close to even and did not present Holland as a certain winner.

How did BlueBar Horizon see Kevin Holland vs Uroš Medić playing out?

BlueBar Horizon favored Kevin Holland by decision or submission over Uroš Medić, while seeing no knockout for either fighter. Gage expected Holland’s reach and long-range offense to make it hard for Medić to get close enough to use his more explosive boxing.

Gage compared Medić’s boxing-heavy approach with JDM’s, while describing Medić as the more explosive of the two and JDM as the more technical boxer. He expected Medić to look for close-range exchanges and Holland to answer with leg kicks and straight punches from farther out.

Even if Medić closed the distance, Gage trusted Holland’s ability to take a shot. His two preferred outcomes were a Holland decision and a Holland submission. That assessment also explains why he was interested in a distance wager, despite allowing for a submission as an alternative result.

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Questions from the interview

Why did BlueBar Horizon switch its pick from Kayla Harrison to Amanda Nunes?

Gage of BlueBar Horizon said he would have picked Kayla Harrison if the fight had happened in January. The delay gave Amanda Nunes more time to prepare for her return, leading him to pick Nunes by first-round TKO.

Does BlueBar Horizon expect Amanda Nunes to fight again in the UFC?

Gage of BlueBar Horizon expects the Kayla Harrison fight to be Amanda Nunes’s final UFC appearance, whether Nunes wins or loses.

Who did BlueBar Horizon name as a possible women’s bantamweight contender?

Gage of BlueBar Horizon said Jocelyn Edwards deserves an opportunity, but questioned whether the division has enough compelling challengers after Amanda Nunes and Kayla Harrison.

What odds did BlueBar Horizon mention for Kevin Holland vs Uroš Medić going the distance?

Gage of BlueBar Horizon cited plus-400 odds for Kevin Holland vs Uroš Medić to go the distance and said he liked it as a straight bet.

Did BlueBar Horizon pick Stephen Thompson to win his retirement fight?

No. Gage of BlueBar Horizon expected Charles Radtke to control Stephen Thompson through grappling and said he did not think Thompson would win.

In this interview

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